A recent analysis by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reveals that US consumers and businesses are bearing nearly all the costs of tariffs imposed during President Trump's administration. The report shows that about 90% of the tariff burden falls on American shoulders, contradicting claims that foreign producers primarily incur these costs.

## New York Fed Report: Trump’s Tariffs Burden US Consumers

A recent analysis from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has confirmed what many economists have long warned: the burden of tariffs imposed during President Trump's administration is predominantly shouldered by US consumers and businesses.

The report indicates that nearly 90% of the economic burden of these tariffs fell on American firms and consumers, a stark contrast to claims from the Trump administration that foreign producers bear the brunt of these costs.

The analysis highlights a significant increase in the average US tariff rate on imports, which rose from less than 3% to 13% in 2025.

This dramatic surge in tariffs has resulted in US importers bearing a substantial portion of the costs—94% during the first eight months of 2025, tapering slightly to 86% by November of the same year.

These findings align with similar reports from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and the National Bureau of Economic Research, which corroborate that businesses are passing a significant portion of the tariff costs onto consumers.

The economic implications of these tariffs are profound.

According to the CBO, businesses are likely to continue shrinking their profit margins to offset these additional costs, but they are still expected to pass around 70% of the tariffs directly to consumers.

This translates into a tangible financial impact, with tariffs effectively acting as an average tax increase of approximately $1,000 per household in 2025, according to the Tax Foundation.

Despite the economic strain on American consumers, the White House has defended the tariff policies, citing overall economic growth and a decrease in inflation rates.

Spokesperson Kush Desai claimed that the administration's economic agenda is successfully reducing costs and accelerating economic growth, even as the average tariff rate has increased significantly over the past year.

However, the reality for many US households tells a different story.

As inflation remains a concern, many Americans feel the pinch of rising costs in everyday goods.

The tariffs on imports, designed to protect US industries, have not only failed to shield consumers from price hikes but have also contributed to a broader economic burden on the average American family.

Rising prices for essential goods have led to increasing dissatisfaction among consumers, who hold the administration accountable for their financial struggles.

Moreover, the New York Fed's findings raise questions about the long-term sustainability of these tariff policies.

Economists warn that while some sectors may benefit from broader protectionist measures, the overall economy could face negative repercussions as consumers tighten their spending due to higher costs of living.

Thus, a potential reduction in economic activity and increased unemployment could arise, countering the Federal Reserve's mandate for full employment .

As the situation evolves, the future of these tariffs remains uncertain.

The Supreme Court is expected to make a significant ruling on the legality of Trump's tariff authority under federal emergency powers, which could dramatically alter the landscape of US trade policy.

If upheld, businesses could be entitled to refunds amounting to as much as $168 billion, further complicating the economic picture for both consumers and the government.

In conclusion, while the Trump administration may tout the economic gains associated with tariffs, the reality is that the burden of these trade policies falls squarely on the shoulders of US consumers and businesses.

As the costs of imported goods continue to rise, it becomes increasingly crucial for policymakers to consider the implications of such tariffs on the American public and the overall economy.

New York Fed Report: Trump’s Tariffs Burden US Consumers

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Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Schmid expressed optimism about strong economic growth driven by consumer spending and investments. However, he cautioned that inflation continues to outpace the Fed's target, necessitating a cautious approach to monetary policy.

## Kansas City Fed Chief Predicts Strong Growth Amid Persistent Inflation

Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Schmid recently provided an optimistic outlook for the US economy, highlighting strong growth driven by robust consumer spending and investments, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI) technologies.

Schmid noted that the economy appears to enter 2026 with significant momentum, citing a 4.4% Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expansion in the third quarter of 2025 as evidence of this upward trend.

Despite the positive growth indicators, Schmid pointed out that inflation remains a pressing concern, continuing to exceed the Federal Reserve's target.

He emphasized the need to differentiate between growth that is supply-driven and that which is demand-driven, as the latter often contributes to higher inflation.

"With inflation running closer to 3% than 2%, I see it as appropriate to maintain a somewhat restrictive policy stance," Schmid stated.

The economic landscape has been marked by uneven growth, as high-income households have benefited more significantly from the current economic conditions compared to their low- and middle-income counterparts, who are struggling to keep pace with rising prices.

Schmid articulated that while consumer demand has remained strong, particularly fueled by wealth gains, the strength of demand is disproportionately driven by wealthier households.

In his assessment, Schmid acknowledged that the recent uptick in productivity could be attributed to several factors, including a reduction in labor market churn, which has allowed employees to gain experience and efficiency.

He remarked that businesses are increasingly finding ways to enhance productivity without significantly increasing payrolls.

However, he also cautioned that the link between AI and productivity gains is still not firmly established, indicating that other factors might be at play.

The Kansas City Fed President's comments come against the backdrop of a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where most officials expressed a reluctance to resume interest rate cuts due to the persistence of high inflation.

While some members of the FOMC have advocated for further easing, the majority are focused on curbing inflation rather than stimulating employment, given the current economic conditions.

Schmid emphasized that further rate cuts could risk allowing inflation to persist even longer.

He reiterated the importance of focusing on the Fed's inflation objectives to avoid the risk of inflation becoming entrenched at higher levels.

"We must remain focused on our headline inflation objective, otherwise I believe there is a real risk that inflation will get stuck closer to 3% than 2% in the long run," he warned.

As the Federal Reserve navigates this complex economic environment, Schmid remains optimistic about the potential for AI and other innovations to eventually lead to non-inflationary, supply-driven growth cycles.

However, he firmly believes that the current economic indicators do not yet support such a transition.

In conclusion, while the outlook for economic growth in the US appears strong, the ongoing challenge of inflation necessitates a cautious approach from the Federal Reserve, balancing the need for growth with the imperative to maintain price stability.

Schmid’s insights underscore the Fed's dual mandate of promoting maximum employment while ensuring price stability, a challenge that continues to evolve in the current economic climate.

Kansas City Fed Chief Predicts Strong Growth Amid Persistent Inflation

kansas-city-fed-chief-predicts-strong-growth-amid-persistent-inflation

President Trump has enacted an executive order to assume control over the wildfire recovery process in Los Angeles, citing failures by local and state authorities. The move has drawn sharp criticism from Governor Gavin Newsom, who argues it politicizes disaster recovery and hinders financial assistance for affected residents.

## Trump's Bold Move to Oversee LA Wildfire Recovery Sparks Controversy

President Donald Trump issued an executive order on January 23, 2026, aimed at accelerating the rebuilding process in Los Angeles after the devastating wildfires of 2025.

The order accuses California state and local officials of significant failures in their response and recovery efforts, prompting immediate backlash from Governor Gavin Newsom and other state leaders who claim the federal government is overreaching.

The executive order, titled "Failures to Rebuild Los Angeles After the Wildfire Disasters," cites the mismanagement of resources and ineffective permitting processes as reasons for the slow recovery.

Trump stated that nearly 40,000 acres were affected by the fires, with only a small fraction of destroyed properties currently under reconstruction.

In response to these assertions, Newsom's office criticized the executive order as "useless" and claimed that local permitting timelines have already improved significantly since the fires.

He emphasized that the real hindrance to recovery is the federal government's delay in releasing disaster aid, asserting that the administration is mischaracterizing the state's progress.

The executive order empowers federal agencies, particularly the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and the Small Business Administration (SBA), to bypass local permitting requirements for properties affected by the wildfires.

This would allow builders to self-certify compliance with state and local safety codes, potentially undermining local governance and authority over land use.

Newsom has called for the Trump administration to release the federal disaster aid that survivors have been waiting for, arguing that the focus should be on providing financial support rather than federal control over local recovery efforts.

He emphasized that the state's existing structures are already facilitating a faster recovery than prior disasters.

The context of this conflict is crucial, as California has historically managed its own recovery efforts following natural disasters.

Trump's order comes amid broader tensions between his administration and California, particularly regarding environmental policies and responses to disasters.

The governor's office noted that over half of California's forests are federally managed, challenging the narrative that state policies are solely to blame for wildfire severity.

In addition to the permitting changes, Trump's order mandates a federal audit of nearly $3 billion in hazard-mitigation grants allocated to California, intended to ensure that these funds are being used effectively.

This audit is part of a broader effort to hold state and local governments accountable for the management of disaster relief resources.

Rebuilding efforts in Los Angeles are critical, as thousands of residents remain displaced and in need of support.

Joy Chen, director of the Eaton Fire Survivors Network, pointed out that the primary barrier to rebuilding is not local permitting but rather the lack of available funds.

Many survivors are struggling to secure the financial resources necessary to begin reconstruction.

As of now, there are nearly 3,000 applications for rebuilding permits across Los Angeles County, with just over 1,300 permits issued.

Survivors and local officials are calling for swift federal action to release the necessary funding to expedite these processes.

The friction between state and federal authorities is expected to continue as recovery efforts unfold.

Newsom and other state leaders are urging the federal government to prioritize financial assistance over regulatory control, highlighting the need for a collaborative approach in addressing the aftermath of the wildfires.

As the situation develops, it remains to be seen how this federal intervention will impact the overall recovery process and the rebuilding of communities devastated by the fires.

The complexities of disaster recovery in California illustrate the challenges of navigating local, state, and federal relationships in times of crisis.

Trump's Bold Move to Oversee LA Wildfire Recovery Sparks Controversy

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Jad Tarifi, a former Google executive, argues that pursuing advanced degrees in law and medicine may no longer be worthwhile due to the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence. As AI technologies evolve, he suggests that traditional education paths could lead students to waste years on degrees that may quickly become irrelevant.

## Ex-Google Exec Warns: Law and Medicine Degrees May Be Obsolete

Jad Tarifi, the founder of Google's first generative AI team, has raised significant concerns about the future of higher education, particularly in fields like law and medicine.

He argues that the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) could render these advanced degrees obsolete, suggesting that students may end up "throwing away" years of their lives pursuing them.

Tarifi, who holds a PhD in AI himself, contends that by the time students complete their degrees, AI will have advanced to a point where the skills learned in traditional educational settings will be outdated.

He notes that even AI applications in fields like robotics will likely be resolved well before students finish their studies.

"AI itself is going to be gone by the time you finish a PhD," Tarifi told Business Insider.

He believes that time could be better spent exploring more niche areas connected to AI or even skipping formal education altogether.

He emphasizes that "higher education as we know it is on the verge of becoming obsolete," advocating for the cultivation of unique perspectives and emotional awareness over accumulating credentials.

The concerns raised by Tarifi echo sentiments shared by other tech leaders.

For example, Mark Zuckerberg has expressed doubts about the effectiveness of college education in preparing students for modern job markets.

He commented on a podcast that "I'm not sure that college is preparing people for the jobs that they need to have today," highlighting the pressing issues of student debt and the necessity for change in educational paradigms.

Moreover, OpenAI's CEO Sam Altman has asserted that AI models, particularly GPT-5, can perform tasks comparable to those of PhD-level experts.

He remarked, "GPT-5 really feels like talking to a PhD-level expert in any topic," underscoring the rapid advancements AI has made.

Tarifi's warnings also extend to the medical field, where he argues that medical education is heavily reliant on outdated memorization techniques.

"In the current medical system, what you learn in medical school is so outdated," he stated, suggesting that the lengthy commitment to obtaining a medical degree may not be worth the effort given the pace of AI advancements.

While there is still a robust pipeline from PhD to high-paying jobs in the tech sector—70% of AI doctoral students are now taking private sector jobs post-graduation—this trend has sparked fears among academic leaders about a potential "brain drain." They worry that the allure of high salaries in tech could deter scholars from contributing to academia, which is essential for nurturing the next generation.

Henry Hoffmann, chair of the University of Chicago's computer science department, noted that the financial incentives for PhD students are increasingly compelling.

One student recently left their program to accept a "high six-figure" offer from ByteDance, demonstrating the growing disparity between academic pursuits and corporate opportunities.

As the landscape of education and employment continues to evolve, Tarifi's perspective encourages young people to rethink their paths.

Instead of pursuing traditional degrees, he suggests focusing on interpersonal skills and self-awareness, which he believes will be crucial in a future increasingly dominated by AI.

In summary, as AI technologies progress at an unprecedented rate, the relevance of advanced degrees in law and medicine is under scrutiny.

Tarifi's insights reflect a broader conversation about the future of education and the skills that will truly matter in a rapidly changing job market.

Ex-Google Exec Warns: Law and Medicine Degrees May Be Obsolete

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In a rare bipartisan effort, the House voted to reverse President Trump's tariffs on Canada, reflecting growing discontent among lawmakers. The resolution, which passed by a narrow margin, seeks to terminate the national emergency that enabled the tariffs, though actual repeal would require the president's approval.

## House Votes to Repeal Trump's Tariffs on Canada in Bipartisan Move

In a significant move, the House of Representatives voted 219-211 to overturn President Donald Trump's tariffs on Canada, marking a rare bipartisan rebuke of the White House agenda.

This vote is one of the first instances in which the Republican-controlled House has directly challenged the president over a key policy decision, highlighting a growing unease among lawmakers regarding economic issues as midterm elections approach.

The resolution aims to end the national emergency that Trump declared to implement these tariffs, although actual repeal would necessitate the president's support, which remains unlikely.

The measure now heads to the Senate, where additional debate and votes are expected.

Trump has long advocated for tariffs as a tool to compel US trade partners to negotiate.

However, lawmakers are increasingly feeling pressure from constituents and businesses affected by the ongoing trade wars and rising costs of living.

"Today's vote is simple: Will you vote to lower the cost of living for the American family or keep prices high out of loyalty to one person—Donald J.

Gregory Meeks, the resolution's author and the top Democrat on the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

The resolution's passage comes as the Senate has already expressed its disapproval of Trump's tariffs on Canada and other nations, indicating a growing consensus against the administration's trade policies.

However, both chambers must approve the measure before it can be sent to Trump for his signature or veto.

In response to the vote, Trump issued a stern warning to Republican lawmakers, stating, "Any Republican, in the House or the Senate, that votes against TARIFFS will seriously suffer the consequences come Election time, and that includes Primaries!" This reflects the high stakes involved as lawmakers weigh their political futures against party loyalty.

House Speaker Mike Johnson attempted to prevent the vote, urging lawmakers to wait for a pending Supreme Court ruling concerning the tariffs.

His efforts to delay the resolution were thwarted when several Republicans broke ranks to support the measure, showcasing a divide within the party.

"We're disappointed in what the people have done," remarked Kevin Hassett, director of the White House's National Economic Council, indicating the administration's resolve to maintain the tariffs.

The resolution seeks to terminate the national emergency declared by Trump, which the administration justified by claiming that illicit drug flow from Canada posed a significant threat.

Some Republican lawmakers, however, argued that the threat of fentanyl—a drug that has contributed to the opioid crisis—is a legitimate reason to maintain the tariffs.

Brian Mast, the Republican chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, emphasized that the resolution should not be seen solely as a debate about tariffs, but rather as an effort to confront the Democratic narrative regarding drug policy and its implications for national security.

As the vote approached, some Republican members expressed their concerns over the balance of power between the legislative and executive branches.

Don Bacon, who voted for the resolution, articulated a need for Congress to assert its authority.

"Why doesn't Congress stand on its own two feet and say that we're an independent branch?" he questioned.

The political landscape appears increasingly complex as the House navigates the implications of Trump's tariffs and the responses from both parties.

With the upcoming elections on the horizon, the dynamics of trade policy will likely remain a focal point of contention.

Overall, this vote not only reflects the growing bipartisan dissatisfaction with the current administration's trade policies but also sets the stage for further debates as economic issues persist in the minds of voters leading up to the midterms.

House Votes to Repeal Trump's Tariffs on Canada in Bipartisan Move

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US stock markets experienced significant declines as fears of AI disruption influenced investors to withdraw from technology stocks. The Dow Jones fell over 650 points, while gold and bitcoin also saw substantial drops, reflecting a broader risk-off sentiment in the market.

## Stocks Plummet as AI Fears Impact Tech Sector; Gold and Bitcoin Drop

US stocks turned sharply lower on Thursday amid rising fears of AI-driven disruption, prompting investors to rotate out of technology shares.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell roughly 1.3%, or over 650 points, marking the end of a three-day win streak for the blue-chip benchmark.

The S&P 500 dropped 1.6%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell over 2% during the trading session.

Gold futures sank by 3%, and bitcoin declined to around $65,000 as investors adopted a risk-off approach.

This mixed market sentiment arises as investors search for sectors vulnerable to AI disruption, which has already led to a significant decline in software stocks.

Recently, trucking and logistics, along with real estate services, have been hit hard by concerns regarding the impact of artificial intelligence on these industries.

In particular, Cisco Systems saw its stock plummet over 12% due to a bleak profit outlook despite a rise in sales related to the ongoing AI buildout within Big Tech.

Other notable tech companies like Nvidia, Meta, Amazon, and Apple also recorded steep losses, with Apple experiencing a drop of approximately 5%.

Attention is now shifting towards the upcoming Consumer Price Index report, set to be released on Friday.

A softer reading could boost hopes that inflationary pressures are easing while economic growth remains stable.

Meanwhile, weekly jobless claims data indicated a smaller decline than expected, further complicating the outlook for Federal Reserve policy.

The recent strong performance in job creation, which saw the US economy adding twice as many jobs as anticipated in January, raises questions about the necessity for near-term interest-rate cuts, a key driver of recent equity gains.

On the earnings front, fast food giant McDonald's saw its shares nudge higher after reporting earnings that exceeded expectations.

Looking ahead, investors are keenly watching for upcoming earnings from companies like Coinbase, Applied Materials, and Rivian, all set to release their results after the market close on Thursday.

As market participants grapple with the implications of AI on various industries, the outlook remains uncertain, particularly for technology stocks that have been at the forefront of recent volatility.

The shifting investor sentiment reflects a cautious approach as they weigh the potential for disruption against the backdrop of broader economic indicators and earnings reports.

In conclusion, the current stock market turmoil underscores the broader anxieties surrounding technological advancements, particularly in AI.

As investors reassess their positions, the volatility is likely to continue until clearer signals emerge regarding both inflation and growth in the labor market, which are critical for determining Federal Reserve policy moving forward.

Stocks Plummet as AI Fears Impact Tech Sector; Gold and Bitcoin Drop

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The Federal Reserve's recent pause on interest rate cuts is largely supported by a declining unemployment rate, which has recently dropped below 5 percent. This decision reflects the Fed's cautious approach amid mixed economic signals, as policymakers weigh the health of the job market against persistent inflation concerns.

## Lower Unemployment Rate Supports Extended Fed Pause

The Federal Reserve has opted to maintain its current interest rate levels, a decision influenced significantly by a declining unemployment rate that has recently dipped below 5 percent.

This rate pause marks a shift from the previous series of cuts, as policymakers assess the overall health of the economy while balancing ongoing inflation challenges.

As of recent reports, the job market has shown considerable strength, with significant job gains contributing to lower unemployment figures.

The economy added approximately 2.7 million jobs in the last year, averaging around 230,000 new positions each month.

However, recent data indicates a slowdown in job creation, raising concerns among economists about the sustainability of these trends.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell has expressed optimism regarding the economy, noting improvements in economic activity since the last meeting.

He highlighted that the outlook has shown significant strength, marking a departure from previous downturn expectations, and indicated that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates further.

This sentiment echoes the cautious stance taken by other Fed officials, who emphasize the need for a more stable labor market before making any further monetary policy adjustments.

Recent labor market reports have also shown mixed results.

Despite the drop in the unemployment rate, which suggests a strengthening job market, there are signs that job creation is not as robust as it once was.

For instance, the latest data indicates payroll gains have slowed, averaging only about 80,000 per month in recent months.

This slowdown raises questions about whether the labor market is nearing its peak capacity, which could necessitate a reevaluation of the Fed's policies moving forward.

In the backdrop of these developments, inflation remains a key concern for the Federal Reserve.

While inflation levels have fluctuated, they have consistently remained above the Fed’s target of 2 percent for an extended period.

This persistent inflation suggests that rate cuts may not be immediately forthcoming, as the Fed strives to maintain a balance between supporting economic growth and controlling price stability.

Former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester underscored the importance of monitoring the labor market, suggesting that the Fed's current position allows for a pause to observe how the economy evolves.

Mester noted that the labor market has stabilized, which supports the notion of keeping monetary policy somewhat restrictive to help guide inflation back towards the target.

The Fed's decision to pause rate cuts reflects a broader strategy to assess the evolving economic conditions, particularly as the job market shows signs of both strength and weakness.

The current unemployment rate, while encouraging, must be weighed against potential risks of economic slowdown and persistent inflation.

Thus, the Fed is likely to remain vigilant, prepared to adjust its policies as new data emerges.

In conclusion, the extended pause in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is primarily supported by a declining unemployment rate, which has created a complex landscape for policymakers.

While the job market shows promise, the Fed's cautious approach reflects an understanding of the need for ongoing monitoring of economic indicators to ensure stability in both employment and inflation rates.

As the economy continues to evolve, the Fed's policy decisions will be critical in navigating the challenges ahead.

Lower Unemployment Rate Supports Extended Fed Pause

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American voters have expressed dissatisfaction with the economies under both President Biden and former President Trump, despite differing economic indicators. Polls indicate that inflation and affordability remain pressing concerns that may impact future elections.

## Comparing Economic Dissatisfaction: Biden vs. Trump

Recent polls reveal a striking similarity in American sentiment towards the economies managed by both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.

Despite key economic indicators showing growth, such as low unemployment rates and rising wages, public approval remains low for both administrations.

According to a Gallup poll, only 21 percent of Americans rate the current economy as "excellent" or "good," a sentiment reminiscent of the economic struggles during the Great Recession.

This dissatisfaction persists even as statistics indicate improvements, leading many to question the disconnect between economic data and public perception.

The "misery index," which combines unemployment and inflation rates, is currently lower than it was during the 1980s and 1990s.

During Biden's presidency, inflation peaked in early 2022, causing significant concern among voters and contributing to a dip in Biden's approval rating on economic matters, which fell to 36 percent.

While inflation has declined since then, the lingering effects of higher prices continue to shape public perception.

Many Americans desire not just lower inflation but actual decreases in prices, which has not yet been realized.

The dissatisfaction with Biden’s handling of the economy has led many to question his administration's effectiveness.

A notable 57 percent of Americans disapprove of Biden's economic management, which some analysts attribute to the rising cost of living and healthcare prices.

In fact, 70 percent of respondents indicated that the cost of living in their area is unaffordable, highlighting a growing sentiment of economic strain across various demographics.

Conversely, Trump's economic approval ratings have also faced scrutiny.

Despite his claims of economic success, including promises of high growth rates and significant investments, many Americans express skepticism about these assertions.

His administration's economic policies, including tariffs, have been criticized for contributing to rising prices, undermining public confidence in his economic stewardship.

During Trump's latest term, only 36 percent of respondents felt he was doing a good job managing the economy, marking the lowest approval rating for him in this area.

Critics point out that even as the economy improved on certain metrics, many voters felt disillusioned, especially as inflation persisted and wages failed to keep pace with rising costs.

### Voter Sentiment and Future Implications

The prevailing economic discontent has created a challenging environment for both parties.

Polls indicate that a majority of Americans (57 percent) expect their financial situation to worsen in the coming year, reflecting a pervasive sense of pessimism.

As both Biden and Trump navigate these economic concerns, the implications for future elections are significant.

Republicans currently face a dilemma as they control the White House and both chambers of Congress but are still unable to convincingly deflect blame for economic dissatisfaction onto the Biden administration.

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