Earth's Carbon Sinks Face Climate Feedback Loops

Aug 24, 2025, 2:57 AM
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Carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere have risen an extra 15 parts per million since 1960 due to declining land and sea carbon sink capacity . Wildfires and extreme weather events are increasingly counteracting natural CO2 absorption, creating feedback loops that amplify global warming. These effects now account for about 15% of the observed CO2 increase since 1960, according to climate scientist Pierre Friedlingstein .
The land and oceans have historically absorbed nearly half of human-emitted CO2, but this capacity is being eroded by climate impacts. Higher temperatures are reducing the effectiveness of plant growth in absorbing CO2, while droughts and wildfires degrade soil quality and release stored carbon. "The sink is not collapsing, but it is slowly coming down," Friedlingstein noted, emphasizing that feedback effects are altering the natural balance .

Feedback Loops and Carbon Sinks

Natural carbon sinks include forests, oceans, wetlands, and grasslands, which collectively absorb about 50% of annual CO2 emissions. However, climate change is disrupting these systems in critical ways. Forests, which store vast amounts of carbon in their biomass, are becoming less effective as wildfires and deforestation increase. Data from Global Forest Watch shows a 12% decline in global tree cover between 2000 and 2022, reducing their ability to act as carbon sinks .
Oceans, absorbing 31% of atmospheric CO2, face dual threats: acidification is harming phytoplankton that form the base of marine food webs, while warming waters reduce their capacity to dissolve carbon. "Warmer waters are less able to absorb CO2," explains a study on oceanic feedback mechanisms . Meanwhile, wetlands - which store 50 times more carbon than rainforests - are shrinking due to erosion and sea-level rise, further diminishing Earth's natural carbon capture ability .

Impacts on Different Ecosystems

Soil erosion is paradoxically creating new carbon sinks through deposition in floodplains and basins. A UC Berkeley study found that eroded soil can bury organic carbon in sediment layers, forming long-term storage sites. However, this process is fragile; disturbing these deposits through dredging or dam removal could release stored carbon back into the atmosphere . "Conservation of eroded lands is critical," warns lead researcher Asmeret Berhe, highlighting the need to protect marginal soils from further degradation .
Grasslands, covering 20-40% of Earth's land area, are also under threat. While they store significant carbon in soil, conversion to agricultural land and overgrazing are reducing their effectiveness. "The ability of grasslands to absorb CO2 will decline as their size decreases," says a climate scientist analyzing land-use changes .

Future Concerns

Climate feedback loops pose escalating risks. Permafrost thawing could release 1,600 billion tons of stored carbon, potentially doubling atmospheric CO2 levels if fully released. While ocean absorption might mitigate some effects, this would exacerbate acidification and take centuries to reverse . "We don't want to go there," warns MIT researcher Andrei Sokolov, emphasizing the need for urgent emission reductions to prevent irreversible tipping points .
Scientists stress that while carbon sinks remain vital, their capacity is being outpaced by human emissions. The Global Carbon Project estimates that without significant intervention, feedback effects could increase CO2 levels by another 15 ppm by 2030. "The long term is what we should be looking at," says Friedlingstein, urging continued monitoring of these critical systems .

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