Bipartisan Senate Bill Aims to Ban Sports Betting on Prediction Markets

Mar 24, 2026, 2:38 AM
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A bipartisan effort in the US Senate has introduced legislation aimed at banning sports betting on online prediction markets, a move that could significantly impact platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bill, co-sponsored by Senator Adam Schiff (D-California) and Senator John Curtis (R-Utah), seeks to redefine the regulatory landscape for these platforms, which have surged in popularity in recent years.
The proposed legislation, known as "The Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act," targets federal regulation of prediction markets, specifically prohibiting transactions that mimic sports betting and casino-style games. This comes amid increasing scrutiny from both state and federal officials regarding the nature of these betting platforms, which operate under the jurisdiction of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Critics argue that these platforms blur the lines between traditional betting and financial trading.
Senator Schiff expressed concerns about the implications of these markets, stating, "Sports prediction contracts are sports bets—just with a different name." He emphasized the need for Congress to intervene and eliminate what he perceives as a backdoor to circumvent state and tribal regulations. Curtis echoed these sentiments, highlighting the risks of exposure to addictive gambling behaviors among young people and asserting that such activities should fall under state control rather than federal oversight.
The legislation follows a series of legal challenges against prediction markets at the state level. Recently, Kalshi faced a temporary ban in Nevada, where a judge issued a restraining order against its operations related to sports betting. Arizona's attorney general has also filed criminal charges against Kalshi, accusing it of running an illegal gambling business. These actions illustrate the mounting pressure on prediction markets from state regulators who argue that these platforms are circumventing established gambling laws.
In response to the growing regulatory environment, both Kalshi and Polymarket have announced new policies aimed at preventing insider trading and ensuring market integrity. Kalshi stated it will implement measures to block individuals who could influence outcomes from placing bets on related markets. However, the companies have criticized the new legislation, claiming that banning sports betting on regulated platforms would drive such activities offshore, where they would be unregulated.
Despite the push for stricter regulations, business continues to thrive for these prediction market platforms. Reports indicate that Kalshi has recently raised significant financing, and trading volumes on these sites have been substantial, especially during major sporting events. For instance, Kalshi's trading volume reportedly exceeded $1.2 billion during this year's Super Bowl alone.
As the bill makes its way through the legislative process, it joins a broader conversation about the future of gambling and prediction markets in the US The ongoing legal battles and regulatory scrutiny reflect a growing concern among lawmakers about the potential for addiction and the need for consumer protections in an increasingly digital gambling landscape.
The fate of this bipartisan bill will likely depend on the ongoing discussions about the regulation of gambling and the evolving nature of online betting platforms. With various stakeholders—including state governments, federal regulators, and the prediction market companies themselves—actively engaged in this debate, the outcome remains uncertain. As the discussion progresses, it will be crucial for stakeholders to consider the implications of these regulations on both the market and consumers alike.

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