Stock Market Mixed as Fed Seeks Clarity on Rate Cuts Amid Ukraine Talks

Aug 24, 2025, 1:51 AM
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US stocks opened mixed on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average declining nearly 0.1% and the S&P 500 falling just below flatline, as investors grappled with uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut path and ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Ukraine . The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite eked out slight gains, while retail sector performance provided a contrasting narrative amid evolving trade dynamics .

Fed Policy Uncertainty Dominates Market Focus

The market’s cautious tone was driven by anticipation of Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, where the Fed chair is expected to outline monetary policy direction. Persistent inflationary pressures and a weakening job market have complicated the central bank’s outlook, leaving Wall Street eager for clarity on potential rate cuts in 2025 . Powell’s remarks are likely to be his final public address as Fed chair, adding weight to the event’s significance . The release of the Fed’s July meeting minutes earlier in the week further underscored the lack of consensus among policymakers, with many questions remaining unresolved about the path forward for interest rates .

U.S.-Ukraine Talks Intensify Geopolitical Risks

Geopolitical concerns remained front-of-mind as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky engaged in high-stakes talks with President Trump in Washington, DC The meeting followed Trump’s summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, with Zelensky facing pressure to accept a peace deal that favors Russia. European allies expressed support for Ukraine, but markets remained cautious about the future of US involvement in the conflict, which added volatility to an already uncertain environment . Analysts noted that geopolitical risks could further weigh on investor sentiment as the week progressed.

Earnings Reports Provide Mixed Insights

While major indices showed uneven performance, second-quarter earnings season continued to offer insights into corporate health. Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and Blink Charging (BLNK) reported results on Monday, with most of the quarter’s reports already in. Highly anticipated earnings from Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), Home Depot (HD), and Lowe's (LOW) are due later in the week, potentially shedding light on consumer spending trends amid trade tensions and inflationary pressures . Home Depot’s stock rose despite missing Wall Street estimates, as it reported a return to same-store sales growth, signaling stabilization in the US housing market [1].

Senate Calls for Fed Ethics Reform

Separately, Sens. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of a four-year-old trading scandal involving Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic. The lawmakers accused Powell of enabling a “culture of corruption” by failing to hold Bostic accountable for over 100 violations of federal rules, including evidence destruction between 2017 and 2022 . They called for stronger ethics policies and an independent inspector general to ensure accountability, citing bipartisan concerns about oversight after Trump’s recent purges of inspectors general across federal agencies [2].
As the week unfolds, market participants will closely monitor a combination of Fed communications, earnings reports, and geopolitical developments. The interplay of these factors is expected to shape US stocks’ trajectory, with key decisions from the central bank and trade negotiations likely to influence investor sentiment in the coming days.

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